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Energy · Oil & Gas Drilling · US

Valaris Ltd VAL

$78.55 · close of Nov 9, 2026
AI score · Average · analysis Mar 23, 2026
4.6 of 10

Management and Valuation hold this up; Optionality is the soft spot.

Moat4.0
Management5.0
Valuation5.0
Risk · 10 = lowest5.0
Business model5.0
Optionality3.0
Fair value
AI fair value
$100.71
as of Nov 10, 2026
Base case
$74.04
the single most likely path
Analyst consensus
$69.71
9 analysts · 12-month target
Price
$78.55
price 22% below the AI fair value

The price needs 6.0% growth a year for ten years. The AI thinks 4.0% is achievable, at a 18.0% margin.

Valaris looks fairly priced because its current low PE hides strong cash generation potential from a premium rig fleet in a supply-constrained market, but it needs steady oil demand to grow earnings. Think of it like buying a high-quality truck during a shipping boom – cheap now, but cycles can idle it. Margin trends up and peer tops show room to 18% owner earnings margin with better rates; big risk is oil dropping below $70, killing contracts.

The business

Valaris Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides offshore contract drilling services in Brazil, the United Kingdom, Gulf of America, Australia, Angola, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Floaters, Jackups, ARO, and Other. The company owns an offshore drilling rig fleet, which includes drillships, dynamically positioned semisubmersible rigs, a moored semisubmersible rig, and jackup rigs. It also offers management services on rigs owned by third parties. The company serves international, government-owned, and independent oil and gas companies. Valaris Limited was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Last report Nov 2, 2026

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General investment analysis · not personalized advice · the figures carry their dates