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Technology · Software - Application · US

Snowflake Inc. SNOW

$291.14 · close of Nov 9, 2026

Governed data layer whose network effects compound as participants contribute and consume AI-ready datasets across clouds.

AI score · Average · analysis Sep 18, 2026
5.4 of 10

Optionality holds this up; Risk is the soft spot.

Moat4.0
Management7.0
Valuation4.0
Risk · 10 = lowest4.0
Business model7.0
Optionality8.0
Fair value
AI fair value
$315.87
as of Nov 10, 2026
Base case
$326.73
the single most likely path
Analyst consensus
$426.50
52 analysts · 12-month target
Price
$291.14
price 8% below the AI fair value

The price needs 30.0% growth a year for ten years. The AI thinks 28.0% is achievable, at a 28.0% margin.

Snowflake needs to grow revenue at 36% a year for a decade just to justify today's price at current margins. Even with strong AI demand and partnerships, a realistic long-term growth rate is closer to 28%. Margins can improve from 22% to 28% as the business scales, but that is not enough to close the gap. The stock therefore prices in more growth than the company is likely to deliver.

The business

Snowflake Inc. provides a cloud-based data platform for various organizations in the United States and internationally. The company's platform includes artificial intelligence (AI) Data Cloud, which enables customers to consolidate data into a single source of truth to drive meaningful business insights, build data applications, and share data and data products, as well as applies AI for solving business problems. It serves financial services, advertising, media and entertainment, retail and consumer goods, healthcare and life sciences, manufacturing, technology, telecom, travel and hospitality, and government and defense industries, as well as the public sector. the company has a collaboration with OpenAI, L.L.C. for the development of AI solutions for joint enterprise customers that deliver tangible return on investment. The company was formerly known as Snowflake Computing, Inc. and changed its name to Snowflake Inc. in April 2019. Snowflake Inc. was incorporated in 2012 and is based in Menlo Park, California.

Last report Sep 2, 2026 · next Dec 2, 2026

Write why this business works, set your own fair value, and let the briefing speak only when a rule you wrote is crossed.

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General investment analysis · not personalized advice · the figures carry their dates