INVESTBOARDLog in
Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants · US

Sweetgreen Inc SG

$13.36 · close of Nov 9, 2026

Replicable fast-casual concept lacking network effects or cost advantages, destined to face ongoing competition in commoditized healthy dining.

AI score · Below average · analysis May 27, 2026
2.6 of 10

Management holds this up; Risk is the soft spot.

Moat2.0
Management4.0
Valuation2.0
Risk · 10 = lowest2.0
Business model3.0
Optionality3.0
Fair value
AI fair value
$9.37
as of Nov 10, 2026
Base case
$5.52
the single most likely path
Analyst consensus
$10.16
14 analysts · 12-month target
Price
$13.36
price 43% above the AI fair value

The price needs 19.0% growth a year for ten years. The AI thinks 11.0% is achievable, at a 5.0% margin.

Sweetgreen is investing heavily in stores and automation while losing money on operations. Its valuation assumes the bets will pay off with much higher future profits and growth. If automation works and health trends continue, margins could improve enough to justify the price; if competition stays fierce and execution slips, the stock is expensive.

The business

Sweetgreen, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates fast food restaurants serving healthy food and beverages in the United States. It accepts orders through its online and mobile ordering platforms, as well as sells gift cards that do not have an expiration date and can be redeemed. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Los Angeles, California.

Last report Nov 5, 2026

Write why this business works, set your own fair value, and let the briefing speak only when a rule you wrote is crossed.

Start the thirty days · no card
General investment analysis · not personalized advice · the figures carry their dates