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Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail · US

Sea Ltd SE

$77.96 · close of Nov 9, 2026

Platform flywheel: e-commerce density lowers logistics and payments costs, attracting more users and merchants in emerging markets.

AI score · Solid · analysis Oct 15, 2026
7.7 of 10

Valuation and Risk hold this up; Management is the soft spot.

Moat7.0
Management7.0
Valuation8.0
Risk · 10 = lowest8.0
Business model8.0
Optionality8.0
Fair value
AI fair value
$244.25
as of Nov 10, 2026
Base case
$217.43
the single most likely path
Analyst consensus
$148.25
27 analysts · 12-month target
Price
$77.96
price 68% below the AI fair value

The price needs 7.6% growth a year for ten years. The AI thinks 20.0% is achievable, at a 10.4% margin.

Sea trades at a price that requires only 2% long-term growth to justify, yet its platform scale, AI partnerships, and 34% ROIC point to 20% achievable growth and rising margins. The gap between what the market prices and what the business can deliver creates a margin of safety for patient investors. The main risk is near-term margin pressure from competitive spending or new tax rules in Indonesia.

The business

Sea Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates as a technology company in Southeast Asia, Latin America, the rest of Asia, and internationally. The company operates through E-commerce, Digital Financial Services, and Digital Entertainment segments. It offers Garena, a digital entertainment platform for users to access mobile and PC online games, as well as promotes eSports operations and develops games. The company also operates the Shopee e-commerce platform, a mobile-centric marketplace that provides integrated payments, logistics and fulfillment infrastructure, and other value-added services. In addition, it offers Monee digital financial services comprising consumer, and small and medium-sized enterprises (SME) credit, e- wallets, payment processing, banking, Insurtech, and wealth services; and acts as an underwriter for various life and non-life insurance products under the MoneeInsure tradename, as well as insurance agency services. It serves buyers, such as individuals and households; and sellers, including small and medium businesses, brands, and large retailers. The company was formerly known as Garena Interactive Holding Limited and changed its name to Sea Limited in April 2017. Sea Limited was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Singapore.

Last report Aug 11, 2026 · next Nov 10, 2026

Write why this business works, set your own fair value, and let the briefing speak only when a rule you wrote is crossed.

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General investment analysis · not personalized advice · the figures carry their dates