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Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants · US

Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR

$77.52 · close of Nov 9, 2026

Portfolio of established quick-service brands generating high-margin royalties while franchisees bear operational and capital risk; durable as long as consumers value convenience and familiar tastes across cycles.

AI score · Average · analysis Jun 21, 2026
4.8 of 10

Management holds this up; Valuation is the soft spot.

Moat5.0
Management7.0
Valuation2.0
Risk · 10 = lowest5.0
Business model6.0
Optionality4.0
Fair value
AI fair value
$34.87
as of Nov 10, 2026
Base case
$34.87
the single most likely path
Analyst consensus
$85.32
28 analysts · 12-month target
Price
$77.52
price 122% above the AI fair value

The price needs 14.0% growth a year for ten years. The AI thinks 6.0% is achievable, at a 18.0% margin.

QSR is priced as if it will grow revenue at nearly 20% annually for a decade, but realistic long-term growth is closer to 6% given its mature restaurant brands and international expansion pace. The franchising transition should improve margins modestly, yet even that is not enough to justify the current valuation. High debt adds meaningful risk. The stock looks expensive for the growth it can realistically deliver.

The business

Restaurant Brands International Inc. operates as a quick service restaurant company in Canada, the United States, and internationally. It operates through six segments: Tim Hortons, Burger King, Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen, Firehouse Subs, International, and Restaurant Holdings. The company owns and franchises Tim Hortons, a coffee and baked good restaurant chain that offers beverages, sandwiches, wraps, flatbread pizzas, and others; Burger King, a quick service hamburger restaurant chain that offers flame-grilled hamburgers, chicken, and other sandwiches; Popeyes, a quick service chicken concept that offers a Louisiana style menu, including fried bone-in chicken, chicken sandwiches, chicken tenders, wings, fried shrimp, and regional items; and Firehouse Subs, which offers subs with meats and cheese, as well as chili, soups, soft drinks, and other sides. Restaurant Brands International Inc. was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Miami, Florida.

Last report Oct 29, 2026

Write why this business works, set your own fair value, and let the briefing speak only when a rule you wrote is crossed.

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General investment analysis · not personalized advice · the figures carry their dates