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Financial Services · Banks - Regional · US

Nu Holdings Ltd NU

$12.36 · close of Nov 9, 2026

Low-cost digital rails compound accessibility and volume in underbanked markets, creating durable scale advantages while customers continue to prize convenience over legacy relationships.

AI score · Solid · analysis Oct 21, 2026
6.3 of 10

Management and Valuation hold this up; Risk is the soft spot.

Moat4.0
Management8.0
Valuation8.0
Risk · 10 = lowest4.0
Business model7.0
Optionality7.0
Fair value
AI fair value
$28.50
as of Nov 10, 2026
Base case
$29.10
the single most likely path
Analyst consensus
$18.56
23 analysts · 12-month target
Price
$12.36
price 57% below the AI fair value

The price needs 7.9% growth a year for ten years. The AI thinks 18.0% is achievable, at a 18.4% margin.

Nu is a fast-growing digital bank whose GAAP cash flow looks terrible only because it is rapidly expanding its loan book. Once you add those originations back, the business already generates solid cash and should reach 28% margins within five years as deposits and fees scale. At 18% long-term growth the stock is roughly fairly valued today, but the US and Mexico expansions plus management execution give a reasonable margin of safety for patient investors.

The business

Nu Holdings Ltd. provides digital banking platform in Brazil, Mexico, Colombia, the Cayman Islands, and the United States. The company provides spending solutions comprising Nu credit and prepaid card, a digitally enabled card that acts as a credit and a prepaid card; Nubank+ Tier, an evolution of the Nu experience; Ultraviolet credit and prepaid card, a premium metal credit card; mobile payment solutions for NuAccount customers to make and receive transfers, pay bills, and make everyday purchases through their mobile phones; and Nu Shopping, an integrated marketplace that enables customers to purchase goods and services from various ecommerce retailers. It also offers transactional solutions, such as Nu Personal Accounts, a digital account solution for personal financial activities; Nu business accounts for entrepreneur customers and their businesses; and Nu business prepaid and credit card. In addition, it offers savings and investing solutions, including Money Boxes, a solution for goal-based investing; investing solutions, an attractive investment product with customized and conflict-free guidance; and NuCrypto, a solution for buying and selling cryptocurrencies through the Nu app. Further, the company provides borrowing solutions comprising personal unsecured and secured loans; Pix financing that enables credit card and digital account customers to make free and instant peer-to-peer transfers; Boleto financing, which enables credit card and digital account customers to make payments; purchase financing; cash-in financing; and NuPay to make online purchases and pay for services through Nu app. Additionally, it offers protection solutions, such as NuInsurance protection solutions, including life, mobile, auto, home, and financial protection insurance policies; and beyond financial services solutions, including NuTravel, a travel portal; and NuCel, a mobile phone service. Nu Holdings Ltd. was founded in 2013 and is based in Sao Paulo, Brazil.

Last report Aug 13, 2026 · next Nov 12, 2026

Write why this business works, set your own fair value, and let the briefing speak only when a rule you wrote is crossed.

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General investment analysis · not personalized advice · the figures carry their dates