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Technology · Software - Infrastructure · US

Cloudflare Inc NET

$293.75 · close of Nov 9, 2026

Global edge infrastructure that compounds by routing more traffic at near-zero marginal cost, durable as long as latency and security matter more than closed ecosystems.

AI score · Average · analysis Aug 24, 2026
4.6 of 10

Optionality holds this up; Risk is the soft spot.

Moat4.0
Management7.0
Valuation2.0
Risk · 10 = lowest2.0
Business model6.0
Optionality8.0
Fair value
AI fair value
$113.68
as of Nov 10, 2026
Base case
$103.60
the single most likely path
Analyst consensus
$340.03
34 analysts · 12-month target
Price
$293.75
price 158% above the AI fair value

The price needs 41.0% growth a year for ten years. The AI thinks 22.0% is achievable, at a 25.0% margin.

Cloudflare is priced for roughly 50% annual growth for a decade, yet realistic long-term growth is closer to 22% even with AI tailwinds. The gap means investors are paying for perfection that the company is unlikely to deliver.

The business

Cloudflare, Inc. operates as a cloud services provider that delivers a range of services to businesses worldwide. The company provides a cloud-based security solution to secure a range of combination of platforms, including public and private cloud, on-premises, software-as-a-service applications, and Internet of things (IoT) devices; and application security products comprising web application firewall, bot management, distributed denial of service mitigation, API security, SSL/TLS encryption, client-side security, and security center products. It also offers application performance solutions, such as content delivery, load balancing, DNS, smart shield, video stream delivery, web optimization, cloudfare waiting room, and cloudfare data localization suite; SASE platform that combines network services and Zero Trust and workplace security products that provides a cloud-based network and security-as-a-service; network services, including magic WAN, magic transit, magic firewall, cloudflare network interconnect, and spectrum. In addition, the company provides zero trust security services which include cloudflare zero trust network access, secure web gateway, and one client; and remote browser isolation, cloud access security broker, cloud email security, digital experience monitoring, and data loss prevention products. Further, it provides developer-based solutions comprising workers AI, vectorize, AI gateway, cloudflare workers, cloudflare pages, R2 object storage, workers KV, durable objects, D1, hyperdrive, queues, cloudfare stream, cloudfare images, and cloudflare realtime; and consumer offerings, such as 1.1.1.1 DNS and with WARPm and cloudfare registrar that offers secure registration and management of domain names. The company serves customers in technology, healthcare, financial services, consumer and retail, industrial, and non-profit industries, as well as government. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

Last report Nov 5, 2026

Write why this business works, set your own fair value, and let the briefing speak only when a rule you wrote is crossed.

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General investment analysis · not personalized advice · the figures carry their dates