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Technology · Semiconductors · US

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Inc MTSI

$230.00 · close of Nov 9, 2026

Specialized high-frequency analog and RF design IP creates durable customer lock-in through long design cycles in mission-critical applications.

AI score · Average · analysis Jul 16, 2026
5.6 of 10

Management holds this up; Valuation is the soft spot.

Moat5.0
Management8.0
Valuation3.0
Risk · 10 = lowest5.0
Business model7.0
Optionality6.0
Fair value
AI fair value
$210.12
as of Nov 10, 2026
Base case
$185.90
the single most likely path
Analyst consensus
$327.00
16 analysts · 12-month target
Price
$230.00
price 9% above the AI fair value

The price needs 34.0% growth a year for ten years. The AI thinks 20.0% is achievable, at a 22.0% margin.

MACOM needs 40% annual growth for a decade to justify its price at today's margins, but realistic long-term growth is closer to 20% even with AI tailwinds. Margins can improve modestly as the company scales, yet the gap between what the market requires and what the business can deliver leaves little cushion. The main risk is that cyclical downturns or faster competition compress the growth story the valuation already assumes.

The business

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides analog semiconductor solutions for use in wireless and wireline applications across the radio frequency (RF), microwave, millimeter wave, and lightwave spectrum. The company offers a portfolio of standard and custom devices, including integrated circuits, multi-chip modules, diodes, amplifiers, switches and switch limiters, passive and active components, and subsystems. Its semiconductor products are electronic components that are incorporated in electronic systems, such as wireless base stations, optical networks, radar and medical systems, satellite networks, and test and measurement applications. The company serves carrier infrastructure, which comprise long-haul/metro, 5G and 6G infrastructure, satellite communications, and fiber-to-the-X/passive optical network; industrial and defense, including military and commercial radar, RF jammers, electronic countermeasures, and communication data links, as well as multi-market applications, such as industrial, medical, test and measurement, and scientific applications; and data centers. It sells its products through direct sales force, applications engineering staff, independent sales representatives, resellers, and distributors. The company operates in the United States, China, Japan, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan, and internationally. MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. was formerly known as M/A-Com Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. in 2016. MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1950 and is based in Lowell, Massachusetts.

Last report Nov 5, 2026

Write why this business works, set your own fair value, and let the briefing speak only when a rule you wrote is crossed.

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