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Communication Services · Internet Content & Information · US

Match Group Inc MTCH

$39.30 · close of Nov 9, 2026
AI score · Solid · analysis Feb 15, 2026
7.0 of 10

Valuation holds this up; Risk is the soft spot.

Moat6.0
Management6.0
Valuation9.0
Risk · 10 = lowest5.0
Business model8.0
Optionality7.0
Fair value
AI fair value
$95.70
as of Nov 10, 2026
Base case
$67.68
the single most likely path
Analyst consensus
$45.24
20 analysts · 12-month target
Price
$39.30
price 59% below the AI fair value

The price needs 0.0% growth a year for ten years. The AI thinks 5.0% is achievable, at a 32.0% margin.

Match Group's +5.0% margin-adjusted gap shows it can achieve 5% growth at 32% margin while needing only 0% to justify the price, indicating undervaluation and a compelling investment opportunity.

The business

Match Group, Inc. provides digital technologies in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Tinder, Hinge, Evergreen and Emerging, and Match Group Asia. The company's portfolio of brands includes Tinder, Hinge, Match, Meetic, OkCupid, Pairs, Plenty Of Fish, Azar, BLK, and other brands, built to increase users' likelihood of connecting with others. It provides tailored services to meet the various preferences of its users. Match Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1986 and is based in Dallas, Texas.

Last report Nov 2, 2026

Write why this business works, set your own fair value, and let the briefing speak only when a rule you wrote is crossed.

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General investment analysis · not personalized advice · the figures carry their dates