INVESTBOARDLog in
Basic Materials · Gold · CA

Lundin Gold Inc LUG

C$98.46 · close of Nov 6, 2026
AI score · Solid · analysis Jan 20, 2026
7.8 of 10

Business model holds this up; Optionality is the soft spot.

Moat8.0
Management7.0
Valuation7.0
Risk · 10 = lowest8.0
Business model9.0
Optionality7.0
Fair value
AI fair value
—
Base case
—
the single most likely path
Analyst consensus
—
12-month target
Price
C$98.46

The price needs 16.0% growth a year for ten years. The AI thinks 14.0% is achievable.

Near-match on FCF-RDCF with gold deficits/exploration closing gap; quality moat/FCF warrant premium despite cyclicality.

The business

Lundin Gold Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops and operates its mineral concessions in Ecuador. It explores for gold and silver deposits. The company holds interests in 27 metallic mineral concessions and 3 construction material concessions covering an area of approximately 65,000 hectares located in Ecuador. It also holds a 100% interest in the Fruta del Norte gold project that comprising seven concessions covering an area of approximately 5,566 hectares located in the Cordillera del Cóndor region of southeast Ecuador. The company was formerly known as Fortress Minerals Corp. and changed its name to Lundin Gold Inc. in December 2014. Lundin Gold Inc. was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Last report Nov 4, 2026 · next Feb 18, 2027

Write why this business works, set your own fair value, and let the briefing speak only when a rule you wrote is crossed.

Start the thirty days · no card
General investment analysis · not personalized advice · the figures carry their dates