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Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies · US

Intuitive Surgical Inc ISRG

$460.56 · close of Nov 9, 2026

Owner of the minimally invasive surgery graph: installed base and surgeon training create toll-like recurring revenue on every procedure, durable across cycles while physicians value precision and outcomes.

AI score · Solid · analysis Aug 2, 2026
7.2 of 10

Business model holds this up; Valuation is the soft spot.

Moat8.0
Management7.0
Valuation4.0
Risk · 10 = lowest8.0
Business model9.0
Optionality8.0
Fair value
AI fair value
$248.66
as of Nov 10, 2026
Base case
$278.58
the single most likely path
Analyst consensus
$485.57
34 analysts · 12-month target
Price
$460.56
price 85% above the AI fair value

The price needs 18.0% growth a year for ten years. The AI thinks 13.0% is achievable, at a 30.0% margin.

At the corrected 18% required growth for 30% margins, the -5% gap shows ISRG is overvalued as 13% achievable growth falls short, weakening the investment case with no margin of safety.

The business

Intuitive Surgical, Inc. develops, manufactures, and markets products that enable physicians and healthcare providers to enhance the quality of and access to minimally invasive care in the United States and internationally. It offers the da Vinci Surgical System that enables surgical procedures using a minimally invasive approach; and Ion endoluminal system, which extends its commercial offerings beyond surgery into diagnostic endoluminal procedures enabling minimally invasive biopsies in the lung. The company also provides a suite of stapling, energy, and core instrumentation for its multi-port da Vinci surgical systems; progressive learning pathways to support the use of its technology; infrastructure of customer service and support specialists, a complement of services to its customers, including installation, repair, maintenance, 24/7 technical support, and proactive system health monitoring; and integrated digital capabilities providing connected offerings, streamlining performance for hospitals with program-enhancing insights. It sells its products through direct sales organizations, such as capital and clinical sales teams. Intuitive Surgical, Inc. was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Sunnyvale, California.

Last report Oct 20, 2026

Write why this business works, set your own fair value, and let the briefing speak only when a rule you wrote is crossed.

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General investment analysis · not personalized advice · the figures carry their dates