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Real Estate · Real Estate - Development · US

Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. HHH

$85.60 · close of Nov 9, 2026
AI score · Below average · analysis Mar 16, 2026
3.8 of 10

Moat and Optionality hold this up; Risk is the soft spot.

Moat5.0
Management3.0
Valuation3.0
Risk · 10 = lowest3.0
Business model4.0
Optionality5.0
Fair value
AI fair value
$221.16
as of Nov 10, 2026
Base case
$174.83
the single most likely path
Analyst consensus
$84.00
3 analysts · 12-month target
Price
$85.60
price 61% below the AI fair value

The price needs 4.0% growth a year for ten years. The AI thinks 2.0% is achievable, at a 35.0% margin.

The -2.0% gap shows HHH is overvalued, with achievable 2.0% AFFO growth at 35.0% margin below the 4.0% needed for the current price, reducing upside potential.

The business

Howard Hughes Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops master planned communities (MPCs) in the United States. It operates through three segments: Operating Assets, MPC, and Strategic Developments. The Operating Assets segment acquires or develops retail, office, and multifamily properties, as well as invests in other real estate properties. The MPC segment plans, develops, and sells land in large scale and long term community development projects to homebuilders and developers. The Strategic Developments segment develops residential condominium and commercial property projects, as well as various other properties. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas.

Last report Nov 5, 2026

Write why this business works, set your own fair value, and let the briefing speak only when a rule you wrote is crossed.

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General investment analysis · not personalized advice · the figures carry their dates