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Industrials · Marine Shipping · US

EuroDry Ltd EDRY

$38.45 · close of Nov 9, 2026

Owner-operator of standardized drybulk tonnage compounds capital only when disciplined allocation survives rate cycles.

AI score · Below average · analysis Sep 15, 2026
3.5 of 10

Management holds this up; Optionality is the soft spot.

Moat2.0
Management7.0
Valuation3.0
Risk · 10 = lowest3.0
Business model4.0
Optionality2.0
Fair value
AI fair value
$60.93
as of Nov 10, 2026
Base case
$61.34
the single most likely path
Analyst consensus
$45.33
3 analysts · 12-month target
Price
$38.45
price 37% below the AI fair value

The price needs 9.0% growth a year for ten years. The AI thinks 6.0% is achievable, at a 20.0% margin.

EuroDry looks fairly priced at roughly 14x owner earnings. The stock benefits from industry supply constraints that should support rates for several years, but it remains a pure commodity play with no moat, so any pricing power will fade once new ships enter the market. Strong insider ownership is a plus, yet earnings will stay volatile with global trade cycles.

The business

EuroDry Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides ocean-going transportation services worldwide. The company owns and operates drybulk carriers that transport major bulks, such as iron ore, coal, and grains; and minor bulks, including bauxite, phosphate, and fertilizers. As of March 31, 2026, it operated through a fleet of 11 drybulk carriers comprising three Panamax drybulk carriers, two Kamsarmax drybulk carriers, five Ultramax drybulk carriers, and one Supramax drybulk carrier with a total cargo carrying capacity of 766,420 deadweight tons. EuroDry Ltd. was incorporated in 2018 and is based in Marousi, Greece.

Last report Aug 6, 2026 · next Nov 11, 2026

Write why this business works, set your own fair value, and let the briefing speak only when a rule you wrote is crossed.

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General investment analysis · not personalized advice · the figures carry their dates