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Financial Services · Credit Services · US

Capital One Financial Corporation COF

$198.58 · close of Nov 9, 2026

Data-driven consumer credit franchise compounds through proprietary risk analytics and switching costs, durable across cycles as long as customers value better pricing and convenience.

AI score · Solid · analysis Aug 31, 2026
7.3 of 10

Management holds this up; Risk is the soft spot.

Moat6.0
Management9.0
Valuation8.0
Risk · 10 = lowest6.0
Business model7.0
Optionality8.0
Fair value
AI fair value
$262.11
as of Nov 10, 2026
Base case
$306.33
the single most likely path
Analyst consensus
$255.19
23 analysts · 12-month target
Price
$198.58
price 24% below the AI fair value

The price needs 2.0% growth a year for ten years. The AI thinks 8.0% is achievable, at a 12.0% margin.

The +6.0% gap (8.0% achievable vs. 2.0% required at 12% margin) indicates Capital One is undervalued, with growth potential exceeding the threshold to support the current price.

The business

Capital One Financial Corporation operates as the financial services holding company for the Capital One, National Association, which engages in the provision of various financial products and services in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom. It operates through three segments: Credit Card, Consumer Banking, and Commercial Banking. The company accepts checking accounts, money market deposits, negotiable order of withdrawals, savings deposits, time deposits, and sweep accounts. Its loan products include credit card and personal loans; auto and retail banking loans; and commercial and multifamily real estate, and commercial and industrial loans. The company offers credit and debit card products; bank lending; and provides advisory, capital markets, net interchange, treasury management, and depository services. It serves consumers, small businesses, and commercial clients through digital channels, branches, cafés, and other distribution channels located in New York, Louisiana, Texas, Maryland, Virginia, New Jersey, and the District of Columbia. Capital One Financial Corporation was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in McLean, Virginia.

Last report Oct 20, 2026

Write why this business works, set your own fair value, and let the briefing speak only when a rule you wrote is crossed.

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General investment analysis · not personalized advice · the figures carry their dates