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Basic Materials · Gold · CA

Centerra Gold Inc CG

C$30.81 · close of Nov 6, 2026
AI score · Solid · analysis Jan 26, 2026
7.0 of 10

Valuation and Risk hold this up; Moat is the soft spot.

Moat5.0
Management7.0
Valuation8.0
Risk · 10 = lowest8.0
Business model7.0
Optionality7.0
Fair value
AI fair value
C$76.85
as of Nov 10, 2026
Base case
C$54.41
the single most likely path
Analyst consensus
—
12-month target
Price
C$30.81
price 60% below the AI fair value

The price needs 0.0% growth a year for ten years. The AI thinks 8.0% is achievable, at a 20.0% margin.

OCF-based RDCF shows massive positive gap; catalysts and gold tailwinds support 8% achievable vs 0% required, with FCF sensitivity closed by margins/TAM.

The business

Centerra Gold Inc. engages in the operation, development, exploration, and acquisition of gold and copper properties in North America, Turkey, and internationally. The company also owns and operates a molybdenum business unit, which includes a metallurgical processing facility and two primary molybdenum properties. The company was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Last report Oct 29, 2026 · next Feb 18, 2027

Write why this business works, set your own fair value, and let the briefing speak only when a rule you wrote is crossed.

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General investment analysis · not personalized advice · the figures carry their dates