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Real Estate · Real Estate - Diversified · SE

Catena AB CATE

kr385.20 · close of Nov 6, 2026

Owner of strategically located Nordic logistics nodes whose scarcity and lease stability compound with regional trade growth.

AI score · Average · analysis Sep 18, 2026
4.3 of 10

Moat and Management hold this up; Optionality is the soft spot.

Moat5.0
Management5.0
Valuation3.0
Risk · 10 = lowest5.0
Business model5.0
Optionality2.0
Fair value
AI fair value
kr104.47
as of Nov 10, 2026
Base case
kr149.24
the single most likely path
Analyst consensus
—
12-month target
Price
kr385.20
price 269% above the AI fair value

The price needs 13.0% growth a year for ten years. The AI thinks 6.0% is achievable, at a 65.0% margin.

At the 65% margin the -7% gap shows achievable growth falls well short of the 13% rate needed to support the price, indicating overvaluation. This margin-adjusted shortfall implies the market embeds unrealistic expectations and limits upside.

The business

Catena AB (publ) owns, develops, manages, and sells logistics properties in Sweden and Denmark. It provides terminals for immediate transshipment; logistics warehouses for storage; distribution centers; warehouses for cold storage; fully automated warehouses; omni warehouses; and city logistics. The company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Helsingborg, Sweden.

Last report Oct 22, 2026 · next Feb 19, 2027

Write why this business works, set your own fair value, and let the briefing speak only when a rule you wrote is crossed.

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General investment analysis · not personalized advice · the figures carry their dates