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Financial Services · Asset Management · US

BlackRock Inc BLK

$1215 · close of Nov 9, 2026

Compounding flywheel: AUM scale fuels data/tech superiority → attracts inflows → amplifies scale; durable as savers prioritize efficient stewardship.

AI score · Solid · analysis May 9, 2026
7.8 of 10

Moat and Management hold this up; Valuation is the soft spot.

Moat9.0
Management9.0
Valuation3.0
Risk · 10 = lowest9.0
Business model9.0
Optionality9.0
Fair value
AI fair value
$1101
as of Nov 10, 2026
Base case
$556.26
the single most likely path
Analyst consensus
$1361
18 analysts · 12-month target
Price
$1215
price 10% above the AI fair value

The price needs 22.0% growth a year for ten years. The AI thinks 10.0% is achievable, at a 13.0% margin.

The -12.0% valuation gap at 13.0% margin indicates BlackRock is significantly overvalued, as it would require an unsustainable 22.0% growth rate versus the achievable 10.0%. The investment case is weak.

The business

BlackRock, Inc. is a publicly owned investment manager. The firm primarily provides its services to institutional, intermediary, and individual investors including corporate, public, union, and industry pension plans, insurance companies, third-party mutual funds, endowments, public institutions, governments, foundations, charities, sovereign wealth funds, corporations, official institutions, and banks. It also provides global risk management and advisory services. The firm manages separate client-focused equity, fixed income, and balanced portfolios. It also launches and manages open-end and closed-end mutual funds, offshore funds, unit trusts, and alternative investment vehicles including structured funds. The firm launches equity, fixed income, balanced, and real estate mutual funds. It also launches equity, fixed income, balanced, currency, commodity, and multi-asset exchange traded funds. The firm also launches and manages hedge funds. It invests in the public equity, fixed income, real estate, currency, commodity, and alternative markets across the globe. The firm primarily invests in growth and value stocks of small-cap, mid-cap, SMID-cap, large-cap, and multi-cap companies. It also invests in dividend-paying equity securities. The firm invests in investment grade municipal securities, government securities including securities issued or guaranteed by a government or a government agency or instrumentality, corporate bonds, and asset-backed and mortgage-backed securities. It employs fundamental and quantitative analysis with a focus on bottom-up and top-down approach to make its investments. The firm employs liquidity, asset allocation, balanced, real estate, and alternative strategies to make its investments. In real estate sector, it seeks to invest in Poland and Germany. The firm benchmarks the performance of its portfolios against various S&P, Russell, Barclays, MSCI, Citigroup, and Merrill Lynch indices. BlackRock, Inc. was founded in 1988 and is based in New York, New York with additional offices in A

Last report Oct 14, 2026

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General investment analysis · not personalized advice · the figures carry their dates