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Financial Services · Banks - Regional · SE

Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ) AZA

kr368.50 · close of Nov 6, 2026

Digital platform compounds owner earnings by routing retail savings flows at near-zero marginal cost within a regulated Nordic market.

AI score · Average · analysis Oct 21, 2026
5.8 of 10

Management and Business model hold this up; Risk is the soft spot.

Moat5.0
Management7.0
Valuation5.0
Risk · 10 = lowest5.0
Business model7.0
Optionality6.0
Fair value
AI fair value
kr386.68
as of Nov 10, 2026
Base case
kr354.20
the single most likely path
Analyst consensus
—
12-month target
Price
kr368.50
price 5% below the AI fair value

The price needs 8.0% growth a year for ten years. The AI thinks 8.0% is achievable, at a 42.0% margin.

At the corrected 42% margin the 8% achievable growth exactly matches the required rate, producing a zero gap and fair-value assessment with no margin of safety.

The business

Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, provides various savings, pension, and mortgages products in Sweden. It offers share and fund, investment savings, endowment insurance, savings, endowment child insurance, external deposit, and pension insurance accounts, as well as occupational pensions and individual pension plans. The company also trades in equities, funds, and other securities; and provides external and green mortgages, private banking mortgages, margin loans, and stock lending products. In addition, it offers decision support services and others; and publishes topical news and independent advice on the financial website, Placera, as well as on the weekly financial magazine, Börsveckan. The company primarily serves individual and professional investors, and corporate customers, such as entrepreneurs, asset managers, and occupational pension customers. Avanza Bank Holding AB (publ) was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.

Last report Oct 15, 2026 · next Jan 22, 2027

Write why this business works, set your own fair value, and let the briefing speak only when a rule you wrote is crossed.

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General investment analysis · not personalized advice · the figures carry their dates