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Technology · Software - Application · US

Adobe Inc. ADBE

$237.32 · close of Nov 9, 2026

Workflow lock-in through proprietary formats and ecosystem integration converts creative labor into perpetual, high-ROIC cash flows.

AI score · High quality · analysis Sep 25, 2026
8.5 of 10

Management and Valuation hold this up; Optionality is the soft spot.

Moat8.0
Management9.0
Valuation9.0
Risk · 10 = lowest8.0
Business model9.0
Optionality7.0
Fair value
AI fair value
$586.11
as of Nov 10, 2026
Base case
$582.16
the single most likely path
Analyst consensus
$267.00
39 analysts · 12-month target
Price
$237.32
price 60% below the AI fair value

The price needs 0.0% growth a year for ten years. The AI thinks 9.0% is achievable, at a 42.0% margin.

Adobe already throws off more than 10% of its market cap in free cash every year. With AI tools pulling in over a billion users and locking them deeper into the ecosystem, the company can keep growing revenue at a healthy clip while margins stay sky-high. That combination makes the stock look cheap even if growth slows a bit from its recent pace.

The business

Adobe Inc. operates as a technology company worldwide. The Digital Media segment offers products and services that enable individuals, teams, and enterprises to create, publish, and promote content. This segment serves photographers, video editors, graphic and experience designers, game developers, content creators, students, marketers, business owners, knowledge workers, and consumers. The Digital Experience segment provides an integrated platform; and products, services, and solutions that enable brands and businesses to create, manage, execute, measure, monetize, and optimize customer experiences from analytics to commerce. This segment serves marketers, advertisers, agencies, publishers, merchandisers, merchants, web analysts, data scientists, developers, and executives across the C-suite. The Publishing and Advertising segment offers e-learning, technical document publishing, web conferencing, document and forms platform, web application development, printing, and Adobe Advertising solutions. It also provides consulting, training, customer management, technical support, and learning services. The company offers its solutions to enterprise customers, and businesses and consumers; and licenses its products to end-user customers through app stores and website at adobe.com. It markets and distributes its products through distributors, retailers, software developers, mobile app stores, systems integrators, independent software vendors, value-added resellers, and original equipment and hardware manufacturers. The company also provides an online visibility management and content marketing software-as-a-service platform. The company has a strategic alliance with HUMAIN for the development of generative AI models and AI-powered applications. The company was formerly known as Adobe Systems Incorporated and changed its name to Adobe Inc. in October 2018. Adobe Inc. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.

Last report Sep 10, 2026 · next Dec 9, 2026

Write why this business works, set your own fair value, and let the briefing speak only when a rule you wrote is crossed.

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General investment analysis · not personalized advice · the figures carry their dates