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Healthcare · Biotechnology · US

Absci Corp ABSI

$10.80 · close of Nov 9, 2026

Compounding R&D moat at the intersection of compute and AI.

AI score · Below average · analysis Oct 21, 2026
3.8 of 10

Management holds this up; Valuation is the soft spot.

Moat2.0
Management8.0
Valuation1.0
Risk · 10 = lowest2.0
Business model5.0
Optionality7.0
Fair value
AI fair value
$1.06
as of Nov 10, 2026
Base case
$1.42
the single most likely path
Analyst consensus
$14.82
12 analysts · 12-month target
Price
$10.80
price 919% above the AI fair value

The price needs 92.0% growth a year for ten years. The AI thinks 25.0% is achievable, at a 35.0% margin.

The -67% gap shows Absci is heavily overvalued, as 92% required growth to reach 35% margin far exceeds the 25% achievable rate and implies unrealistic expectations priced in.

The business

Absci Corporation, a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops various antibody therapeutics in the United States. Its preclinical development programs include ABS-101, which is in Phase 1 clinical trial for the treatment of inflammatory bowel disease; ABS-201, an anti-prolactin receptor (PRLR) antibody, which is phase 1/2a clinical trial for treating androgenic alopecia; ABS-301 for the treatment of immuno-oncology; and ABS-501 for treating oncology. Absci Corporation has collaboration agreements with PrecisionLife, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, Twist Bioscience, Owkin, Oracle Corporation, and Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. for joint research and development activities. The company was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Washington.

Last report Aug 11, 2026 · next Nov 12, 2026

Write why this business works, set your own fair value, and let the briefing speak only when a rule you wrote is crossed.

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General investment analysis · not personalized advice · the figures carry their dates